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post #8 of (permalink) Old 01-07-2009, 10:17 AM
NancyJ
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: South Carolina
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Re: Probability of Detection (P.O.D.)

The team north of us DOES use these tools but they don't rely on the "standard" book info to estimate where the highest probability areas are to search - they rely on experience from over 80 searches a year in their area for almost 30 years.

The people using these formulas are in IC and are the folks making team assignments. They put highly experienced searches in the IC to do the search management [some of these folks were doing this 30 years ago and are getting a bit arthritic to be huffing up and down the mountains]

The numbers do help when you have someone insisting to search and re-search and are that has been searched repeatedly or when a decision is made to stand down the search. They do help with pinpointing areas that have not had adequate coverage.

Yes victims move that always changes things. The dog can do its job but the dog has to be worked in an area where they can locate the victim.

A big issue I have seen with poorly managed searches is the lack of containment as the search area grows each hour the victim[if live] is out there. If we could get all those untrained community volunteers to do containment instead of throwing them in the woods as some departments do, there may be more successes.

Nancy



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